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March 10, 2020

Scary Mortgage Market


Russia just pulled out all of their investments in the US MBS’s, expect MBS’s to get worse and rates to climb, the Fed may announce some quantified easing shortly and agree to buy them but MBS’s are at the largest gap from the 10 year in the history .
Simply because all of the loans are paying off too early and investors don’t see the value anymore in mortgage backed securities (no return on investment). When the loans are bought the investors typically pay money to buy the loans and the recoup is 3-4 years then every year after they’re making money from the interest paid in on the loan but when the loans pay early they take huge losses and their appetite shrinks for mortgage backed securities as a whole so the spread widens between the 10 year and MBS.


R.A.D.